Capital Trading Group Blog

The Risk Radar Should Be Ringing!

The Risk Radar Should Be Ringing!

05-23-2018

What seems very obvious to me is that there has been an extreme focus upon the flattening of the U.S. yield curve.

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4 12 2018 Crypto Currency

4 12 2018 Crypto Currency

04-12-2018

Big news this week Bloomberg reporting that NY based Soros Fund management has received internal approval to trade virtual coins

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Not A Trade War

Not A Trade War

04-11-2018

We have a lot to get into this week, but let’s begin with a POTUS tweet which in our opinion sums up any trade war provocations...

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Raising Rates

Raising Rates

03-21-2018

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee will decidedly raise the upper bound of its Fed Funds limit to 1.75% today. At least this is what is predicted via The CME Group Fed Watch tool which puts the odds at 94.4%

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CryptoCorner (Mar 13)

CryptoCorner (Mar 13)

03-13-2018

Hey CryptoCorner fans, as we were suggesting last week, we were contemplating adding a new coin to our mix and even to our CC Index. Well that new coin is none other than NEO.

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CryptoCorner (Feb 15)

CryptoCorner (Feb 15)

02-15-2018

The overall Crypto space had a decent week as 7 out of the 8 crypto we follow posted positive weekly gains. The only loser on the week was Ethereum (-$7.40). Zcash and Litecoin were the stand outs posting 32% and 30% weekly gains respectively.

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Markets Have Changed

Markets Have Changed

02-14-2018

We are going to begin this week’s letter with an observation by JPM’s master quant researcher Marko Kolanovic. Most of you should know him by now, we often quote his work, any way last week he said this...

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Quick Update on the Equity Sell Tsunami

Quick Update on the Equity Sell Tsunami

02-06-2018

Just a quick update on this record breaking almost 5% down day in the equity markets, but in reality the streak is still intact; the SP500 Index hasn’t had a 5% pull back since June of 2016 the longest streak in history.

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CryptoCorner (Jan 31)

CryptoCorner (Jan 31)

01-31-2018

We continue to see a pullback in the crypto currency space. As always we like to keep things in context as the massive run up since last November is merely being walked back.

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Davos, Dollars and Dead Men Walking

Davos, Dollars and Dead Men Walking

01-31-2018

We have talked at length on the sinking Dollar and at Davos the “Mnuch” stated that “the weak dollar is good for the U.S. as it relates to trade and opportunities.” Gee thanks Mr. Secretary , but what do you guys really mean?

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Domestic Political Front Has Yet to Negatively Influence Equity Markets

Domestic Political Front Has Yet to Negatively Influence Equity Markets

01-24-2018

Before we get to the markets, we have to talk about something that concerns us. This week the government failed to gather enough senate votes to pass a budget resolution.

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Why The Markets Are Not Correcting

Why The Markets Are Not Correcting

01-15-2018

So let’s get to it, what did we learn over the past week? We were informed by Intel that its computer chips were affected by a bug that makes them vulnerable to hacking. All computers with Intel chips from the past 10 years are affected.

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Merger Mania, Crypto Currencies, and more!

Merger Mania, Crypto Currencies, and more!

12-21-2017

Last week saw the final Fed meeting of 2017 and the final meeting with Janet Yellen as chair. The FED raised rates another 25bp to put the top end of the Fed Funds range up to 1.5%. This move was widely expected and priced into the markets.

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Artificial Intelligence is Supplanting Humans

Artificial Intelligence is Supplanting Humans

12-13-2017

What a week for Blockchain, that’s all we can say. For all the hoopla circulating around the introduction of Bitcoin futures and all the endless blather of uncertainty, we feel that the CBOE futures came and went without a whimper.

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Something New And Profound Is Upon Us

Something New And Profound Is Upon Us

12-07-2017

Last week was highlighted by the big hoopla about the big unveiling and roll out of the Trump tax plan. We can hardly stand the anticipation, speculation, Dems bipartisanship, yadda, yadda, yadda.

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Bitcoin / Blockchain Mania

Bitcoin / Blockchain Mania

12-01-2017

Wow what a ride in Bitcoin, Ethereum etc in the last day. This really shouldn’t be a surprise considering the amount of new wallets created on Thanksgiving.

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The Arms Race With Bitcoin and The SP

The Arms Race With Bitcoin and The SP

11-29-2017

We hope that you had a wonderful Thanksgiving and that the conversations were as off the cuff as ours. We decidedly opted to listen more than opine as we ingested not only too much turkey but certainly a fair amount of economics and far too much...

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Bitcoin and Artificial Intelligence

Bitcoin and Artificial Intelligence

11-22-2017

Last week was a record breaker, not for any certain commodity, but rather one specific market and that was the market for fine art. Leonardo da Vinci’s painting “Salvator Mundi” sold at at Sotheby’s auction for a record breaking $450 million.

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Time Exists All At Once

Time Exists All At Once

11-16-2017

This week we are just going to touch upon a few of the subjects that are driving our markets. Saudi Arabia and the house of Saud continue their crackdown within the kingdom.

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Special Report: Bitcoin & Blockchain - It Exists Everywhere and Nowhere

Special Report: Bitcoin & Blockchain - It Exists Everywhere and Nowhere

11-07-2017

Before we begin our discussion, we feel it imperative to define a few concepts. The first concept we would like to define is, "a medium of exchange." A medium of exchange can be ANYTHING that is WIDELY ACCEPTED in exchange for a good or service.

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Apparently Bitcoin Has A Future

Apparently Bitcoin Has A Future

11-01-2017

Apparently Bitcoin has a future, CME Group announced today that they will be offering a Bitcoin based futures product in Q4 2017. We mentioned or rather made a notion to the fact that the CME Group started keeping track of the price of Bitcoin...

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The Real Reason Spain Can’t Afford Catalonia to Leave

The Real Reason Spain Can’t Afford Catalonia to Leave

10-25-2017

As usual we comb the globe in search of pertinent information that you may otherwise, never have been exposed to. Information that we can read and decipher in order to bring you the type of research you have come to expect from us...

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Nothing Lasts Forever

Nothing Lasts Forever

10-17-2017

In the chaotic world in which we live, we feel that investors tend to over hype the wrong things and under prioritize the right things. For a decade now many investors have finally succumbed to the central bank narrative and the continued and never...

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Breaking Down the 'IOER': Interest Paid On Excess Reserves

Breaking Down the 'IOER': Interest Paid On Excess Reserves

10-04-2017

We decided to start this week's letter with the latest data put out from the Federal Reserve's latest "Survey of Consumer Finance." The headline data posted shows that the share of overall wealth of the top 1% of Americans was 38.6% and the other 90%...

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A Feducation after Janet Yellen's Speech

A Feducation after Janet Yellen's Speech

09-26-2017

Last week saw an FOMC meeting that was widely anticipated as having no change to its interest rate policy and that was certainly the case. As for balance sheet reduction, that is to commence in October.

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Utmost Disdain for Central Bank Manipulation

Utmost Disdain for Central Bank Manipulation

09-20-2017

We have often joked for years now how the central banks have artificially supported markets. Prior to 2008 it was just a myth, this PPT or Plunge Protection Team, well now we don't even joke about it anymore as fiction has indeed become fact.

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Would the US ever consider eliminating the Debt Ceiling for a Debt Target? Let's Hope Not.

Would the US ever consider eliminating the Debt Ceiling for a Debt Target? Let's Hope Not.

09-17-2017

Thankfully the hurricane assumptions were off and they did a bit less damage than what was anticipated. Although let's not make light of the recent weather events, for mother nature always proves her strength.

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Alternative Alpha - Value of Volatility in the Markets

Alternative Alpha - Value of Volatility in the Markets

09-14-2017

The only constant is change.” – Heraclitus – 500 BC. Volatility simply describes to what degree the price of a market security typically changes. Volatility can be “high” or “low.”

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Alternative Alpha - Emerging Market Envy

Alternative Alpha - Emerging Market Envy

09-11-2017

Greed makes people do questionable things. Of course, envy does too. And I’d say U.S. investors have to be getting pretty jealous of foreign investors after the first half of 2017. The S&P 500 is up 8.2%... but global stocks are up 13.2%

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A Look at Income Inequality with a Parabolic Stock Market

A Look at Income Inequality with a Parabolic Stock Market

09-07-2017

Our letter this week is going to take more of an informational tidbit tone. We feel the markets as of late have been driven by late summer vacations, schools starting up and unfortunately that menacing North Korea.

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Broken Record

Broken Record

08-30-2017

Another Jackson Hole Symposium has come and gone. We are still in utter disbelief how many investors pin their hopes on actually learning something by deciphering speeches by Federal Reserve Governors.

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Sacrificing Civility for Instability

Sacrificing Civility for Instability

08-24-2017

This past week saw the release of the FOMC Minutes. Nothing new to report here, just the typical Fed speak and jargon we have come to expect month in and month out.

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Between A Rock And A Hard Place

Between A Rock And A Hard Place

08-15-2017

Last Friday saw the release of the US CPI report. It rose a paltry 0.1% mom, with yoy growth dropping to a meager 1.7%. The bond market saw this as a go ahead to rally as yields fell across the board with the US 5yr Treasury falling 8 basis points...

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The Trend Rolls On

The Trend Rolls On

08-02-2017

As we count down the remaining weeks of summer, we hope you enjoyed a bit of a reprieve from these markets. We hope you found some time to break away and enjoy the weather, enjoy an outdoor activity and found that there is life outside of our digital...

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Summer Doldrums

Summer Doldrums

07-26-2017

As we labor along these summer trading days, awash in great anticipation of the next FED policy move, we can't help but bring to light some of the driving facets behind the equity, bond and currency moves.

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When Doves Fly

When Doves Fly

07-19-2017

Chair Yellen didn’t waste any time reassuring markets last week that the FED, despite their wherewithal to hike rates and shrink balance sheets, will remain mostly accommodative.

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How Much Time Can You Afford To Spare?

How Much Time Can You Afford To Spare?

07-12-2017

Well one thing is certain summer is definitely upon us! With summer in full effect and especially coming off of a midweek 4th of July where it seems those that can, take the entire week off, we wouldn't expect anything less than subpar volume trading.

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Depreciating Savings

Depreciating Savings

07-09-2017

With the equity and bond markets struggling a bit this week, it didn’t surprise us that the large institutional banks decided to announce a juicy share buyback and dividend increase, just to boost pessimistic spirits.

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